What To Expect From The Feds July Interest Rate Decision

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The FOMC has eight regularly scheduled meetings a year in Washington, D.C. The interaction of all of the Fed’s policy tools determines the federal funds rate or the rate at which depository institutions lend their balances at the Federal Reserve to each other on an overnight basis. By law, the Federal Reserve conducts monetary policy to achieve its macroeconomic objectives of maximum employment and stable prices. Usually, the FOMC conducts policy by adjusting the level of short-term interest rates in response to changes in the economic outlook.

Stability provides predictability, whether in the form of our relationships, steady paychecks, or the warm feeling of meeting your friends for your weekly pick-up hockey game. During the meeting, depending on the topic of discussion, the market can swing up or down. The FOMC is made up of 12 members, including the seven members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four presidents of the remaining 11 Federal Reserve Banks. The Federal Reserve System is designed to be independent of government, though not independent from government. Members are appointed by the president, approved by the Senate Banking Committee and then the broader Senate before coming to the Fed.

This is done through OMOs, adjusting the discount rate, and setting bank reserve requirements. The Fed’s Board of Governors is in charge of setting the discount rate and reserve requirements, while the FOMC is specifically in charge of OMOs, which entails buying and selling government securities. For example, to tighten the money supply and decrease the amount of money available in the banking system, the Fed would offer government securities for sale.

Here’s how many times the Fed is expected to cut rates this year

Some stocks are rather immune to inflationary pressure, while others can even benefit from inflation. The Bullish Bears team focuses on keeping things as simple as possible in our online trading courses and chat rooms. We provide our members with courses of all different trading levels and topics.

What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)? Meet the key policymakers shaping your finances

The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) consists of 12 members — seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the New York Fed, and four of the remaining 11 Reserve bank presidents, serving one-year terms. The 11 regional reserve banks are divided into four groups, with one president from each group serving on the FOMC each year. However, in times of crisis or economic uncertainty, the FOMC may hold emergency meetings in order to make decisions about monetary policy.

This adds to their reserves, giving banks more fed funds than they want. Banks will lower the fed funds rate to lend out this extra reserve. The Committee adjusts interest rates by setting a target for the fed funds rate. This is the rate that banks charge each other for overnight loans known as fed funds. Banks use the fed funds loans to make sure they have enough to meet the Fed’s reserve requirement.

That process, formally called large-scale asset purchases but more colloquially known as quantitative easing, can influence longer-term interest rates, while also expanding or contracting the money supply. During the meeting, members discuss developments in the local and global financial markets, as well as economic and financial forecasts. All participants—the Board of Governors and all 12 Reserve Bank presidents—share their views on the country’s economic stance and converse on the monetary policy that would be most beneficial for the country.

What you might see in an FOMC meeting is just the tip of the iceberg. These meetings are the culmination of thousands of hours of work and thought that are eventually boiled down to a single policy decision. While only five Reserve Bank presidents vote at a given meeting, all the presidents attend and participate. If you attended this meeting, you wouldn’t necessarily be able to tell the difference between voters and non-voters. Staff from the Board and individual Reserve Banks, including economists and regulatory experts, also attend the meeting. The chair of the board serves as the chair of the broader FOMC, a position currently served by Jerome Powell, whose second four-year term began in May 2022.

The regional Fed bank presidents

what is the fomc meeting

As of the December 2024 meeting, there had been about 500 FOMC dissents (.xlsx) since 1936, according to data tracked by the St. Louis Fed. Consumer price index data released on June 11 showed the annual inflation rate rising to 2.4% in May from 2.3% reported in April. Overall prices rose 0.1% for May after increasing 0.2% in the previous month, with economists warning the larger impacts of tariff policies won’t be clear until later in the year. The producer price index released on June 12 showed a modest rise in wholesale prices by 0.1% from May, bringing up the increase in wholesale prices to 2.6% year over year. If analysts on Wall Street already expect the FOMC to raise interest rates throughout the year, and it does exactly that, it won’t have much impact on the stock market.

How the FOMC affects the stock market

  • The FOMC uses monetary policy to influence the availability of money and credit.
  • They created this mess through the wanton printing of money and out-of-control stimulus packages.
  • The FOMC’s projections suggest some softening in the job market and economic growth in the months ahead, and officials also see price increases being passed along to consumers from tariffs.
  • Overall prices rose 0.1% for May after increasing 0.2% in the previous month, with economists warning the larger impacts of tariff policies won’t be clear until later in the year.
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But that person would not be in place in time for the FOMC’s first meeting, when the FOMC chair is selected. The Fed replaces the bank’s reserves with securities when it wants rates to rise. This reduces the amount available to lend, forcing the banks to increase rates. Policymakers are likely going to keep their key borrowing benchmark at a decade-plus high for another month. No one I’ve talked to over the past few weeks expects that the Fed will cut rates today.

Best Inflation-Proof Investments for 2025

  • For example, the committee had two unscheduled meetings in March 2020 to address risks to the economy from the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • And about two-thirds (or 65 percent) believe tariffs will worsen their personal finances, with 41 percent believing they will “greatly” damage their money.
  • During periods of economic downturn, the FOMC may choose to purchase large quantities of U.S.
  • I asked Chairman Powell if he thinks workers still have a degree of bargaining power to ask for higher pay — a crucial question right now as officials look to see whether tariffs may lead to a more persistent inflation problem.
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  • Over the last few years, we’ve seen practically free money, wild borrowing, a frenzy of buying, and commodities prices soaring.

The Federal Reserve meets for fifth two-day rate-setting session of 2025 next month on Tuesday, July 29, and Wednesday, July 30, 2025. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool’s premium services. If the FOMC indicates it will raise interest rates higher than expected, it’ll be more expensive to borrow in the future. The FOMC uses the open admiral markets company market operations of the Fed as the tool to change interest rates. Strictly Necessary Cookie should be enabled at all times so that we can save your preferences for cookie settings. Also, we provide you with free options courses that teach you how to implement our trades as well.

FOMC Key People – 2023

what is the fomc meeting

Plus, the Fed only directly controls short-term interest rates, longer-term interest rates, which make up the bulk of the cost of servicing government debt are shaped by a broader set of market forces. Markets expect the Federal Open Market Committee to hold interest rates steady at the conclusion of their next scheduled decision on July 30. That’s because the job market appears robust, with unemployment holding in a 4.0% to 4.2% range for the past year, while inflation remains a little above target.

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Take up one of our Challenges today and head to our Community to join the conversation. OANDA Prop Trader offers the opportunity for aspiring and experienced traders to trade using virtual funds and earn a real profit share up to 90%. FOIAThe FOMC makes an annual report pursuant to the Freedom of Information Act. The FOMC FOIA Service Center provides information about the status of FOIA requests and the FOIA process.

If economic conditions require additional meetings, the FOMC can and does meet more often. The Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, is the Fed’s chief body for monetary policy. Next comes the “policy round,” which begins with staff presentations on options for monetary policy actions. Then, each FOMC participant discusses their views on the policy recommendations, how to implement that policy, and how to communicate their decision to the public (Off-site). Throughout both rounds of discussion, participants may ask one another questions and offer commentary. After economic and policy discussions conclude, FOMC voting members approve the policy action and an accompanying public statement.